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The Big Picture – Is Afghanistan Slipping Back into Chaos?

The Big Picture – Is Afghanistan Slipping Back into Chaos?



The attack on Afghanistan parliament recently, by the Taliban, has made the world once again sit up and take note of whats happening in this war-torn country. Ever since the Nato forces withrew in december last year taliban seems to have gotten back into action. This attack is an attempt by the taliban to regain hold over the nation. In the last few days, it has been advancing over the northern part of the country and is said to have captured few provinces in the country. The presence of ISI in Afghanistan and its clashes with the taliban is another dimension of the problem. Meanwhile, the Afghan police and military seems to have stretched to their limits without the support of Nato forces to tackle the danger caused by taliban and ISI.

Afghan intelligence claims that an officer of Pakistan’s spy agency, the Inter-Services Intelligence, and the Haqqani Network were involved in the attack. However, Pakistan has dismissed this claim. This attack is an eye opener to the whole world. It is clear that the Afghanistan Taliban does not want peace and has pulled out of all talks with the Government. The fact that the Taliban has stopped talking peace with the Afghanistan government is a grim reminder that the battle is going to be bloody and India cannot just wait and watch.

Afghanistan is in a situation which is going beyond control. According to some, taliban wants to run its own government. The ISI on the other hand is not helping and has tried and forged a relationship with the Afghan intelligence. To add to the problem there are several factions that are present in Afghanistan. The ISIS has landed, there is the al-Qaeda and the Taliban which has splintered. India feels that Afghanistan with a new government, needs transition time and hence the drawdown of the military by the NATO needs to be reconsidered. India also made out its case by citing the UN report which stated that armed clashes have increased by 45% compared to last year. The advent of the ISIS into Afghanistan will only turn the situation from bad to worse. They are likely to bring in more fighters and before anyone realizes they would have built up a sizeable force. With the ISI controlling a large number of these foreign fighters, it becomes clear that they would look to target Indian installations more. As a first step India is all set to review its security policy in Afghanistan.

The armed clashes in Afghanistan off late have all been ethnic clashes. Each group is trying to get the better of the other. The Taliban however has been launching several offensives in the recent past and is attempting a return. Now that the international forces have left the country, the government in Kabul has to fend for itself. Both the Taliban and the IS are hard-line Sunni groups with an agenda for imposing apparently uncompromising Islamic tenets of governance. Right now, the United States, the major international interventionist power in the region between Islamabad and Istanbul, is more focused on the IS in Syria and in Iraq. As a matter of fact, the US is even willing to deal with the Taliban at a political level.